Simultaneous Kriging-Based Estimation and Optimization of Mean Response
Journal of Global Optimization 2013
Jānis Januševskis, Rodolphe Le Riche

Robust optimization is typically based on repeated calls to a deterministic simulation program that aim at both propagating uncertainties and finding optimal design variables. Often in practice, the “simulator” is a computationally intensive software which makes the computational cost one of the principal obstacles to optimization in the presence of uncertainties. This article proposes a new efficient method for minimizing the mean of the objective function. The efficiency stems from the sampling criterion which simultaneously optimizes and propagates uncertainty in the model. Without loss of generality, simulation parameters are divided into two sets, the deterministic optimization variables and the random uncertain parameters. A kriging (Gaussian process regression) model of the simulator is built and a mean process is analytically derived from it. The proposed sampling criterion that yields both optimization and uncertain parameters is the one-step ahead minimum variance of the mean process at the maximizer of the expected improvement. The method is compared with Monte Carlo and kriging-based approaches on analytical test functions in two, four and six dimensions.


Keywords
Kriging based optimization – Uncertainty propagation – Optimization under uncertainty – Robust optimization – Gaussian process – Expected improvement
DOI
10.1007/s10898-011-9836-5
Hyperlink
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10898-011-9836-5#

Januševskis, J., Le Riche, R. Simultaneous Kriging-Based Estimation and Optimization of Mean Response. Journal of Global Optimization, 2013, Vol.55, Iss.2, pp.313-336. e-ISSN 1573-2916. ISSN 0925-5001. Available from: doi:10.1007/s10898-011-9836-5

Publication language
English (en)
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