European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development

Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society 2012
Valērijs Skribans

The formation of the European Union (EU) is the one of the biggest political – economic events of the last 50 years. The aim of this study is to develop EU economy functioning system dynamic model. Main research method is system dynamics. General scheme of EU economy system dynamic model is shown. Implementing the model in practice, new EU member economic integration model in EU is developed. Model is tested only for one EU country, Latvia. Results of the paper show failure of the mechanism of EU operations. The available mechanism contradicts EU principles; it doesn't promote the cohesion in European Union, but quite opposite - leads to solving problems of well-developed EU countries at the expense of developing countries. In the given conditions the example of Latvia shows that there is no possibility to overcome the system crisis. These circumstances specify necessity of changes in EU internal migratory policy, changes in principles of developing countries’ support in EU, and changes in distribution of EU means, taking into account internal migration.

Keywords
European Union, integration, GDP, employment, debt, international trade, investments
Hyperlink
http://www.systemdynamics.org/conferences/2012/proceed/papers/P1015.pdf

Skribans, V. European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development. In: Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Switzerland, St. Gallen, 22-26 July, 2012. Red Hook, NY: Curran, 2012, pp.3687-3696. ISBN 9781622764143.

Publication language
English (en)