Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand

Environmental and Climate Technologies 2018
Pruethsan Sutthichaimethee, Danupon Ariyasajjakorn

The aim of this research is to forecast CO2 emissions from consumption of energy in Industry sectors in Thailand. To study, input-output tables based on Thailand for the years 2000 to 2015 are deployed to estimate CO2 emissions, population growth and GDP growth. Moreover, those are also used to anticipate the energy consumption for fifteen years and thirty years ahead. The ARIMAX Model is applied to two sub-models, and the result indicates that Thailand will have 14.3541 % on average higher in CO2 emissions in a fifteen-year period (2016–2030), and 31.1536 % in a thirty-year period (2016–2045). This study hopes to be useful in shaping future national policies and more effective planning. The researcher uses a statistical model called the ARIMAX Model, which is a stationary data model, and is a model that eliminates the problems of autocorrelations, heteroskedasticity, and multicollinearity. Thus, the forecasts will be made with minor error.

Atslēgas vārdi
CO2 emissions; GDP growth; energy consumption; income per capita; population growth
DOI
10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007
Hipersaite
https://content.sciendo.com/view/journals/rtuect/22/1/article-p107.xml

Sutthichaimethee, P., Ariyasajjakorn, D. Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand. Environmental and Climate Technologies, 2018, No.1, 107.-117.lpp. ISSN 1691-5208. e-ISSN 2255-8837. Pieejams: doi:10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007

Publikācijas valoda
English (en)