Probabilistic Evaluation of Solar and Wind Power Plants Joint Operation for AES on Data of Weather Conditions Forecast

2025 IEEE 66th International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON 2025) : Proceedings 2025
Anatolijs Mahņitko, Boris Papkov, Tatjana Lomane, Inga Zicmane

A probabilistic approach to the assessment of solar power plants (SPP) and wind power plants (WPP) joint operation for an autonomous electrical system (AES) with taking into account the random nature of the electricity produced by them is proposed. The realization of this approach is illustrated on a concrete conditional example of a sample of retrospective weather conditions on solar activity and wind strength. The modeling results make it possible to determine the most probable conditions of power shortage in AES for specific possible forecasts of the states of the external environment for the variables “Sun” and “Wind”. The realization of this approach is illustrated on a concrete conditional example of a sample of retrospective weather conditions on solar activity and wind strength.

Atslēgas vārdi
Autonomous electrical system; mode; solar power plants; wind power plants; uncertainty; random variable; conditional probability; forecast
Hipersaite
http://www.conference.rtu.lv/

Mahņitko, A., Papkov, B., Lomane, T., Zicmane, I. Probabilistic Evaluation of Solar and Wind Power Plants Joint Operation for AES on Data of Weather Conditions Forecast. No: 2025 IEEE 66th International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON 2025) : Proceedings, Latvija, Riga, 23.-25. oktobris, 2025. Piscataway, NJ: IEEE, 2025, 1.-6.lpp.

Publikācijas valoda
English (en)